AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, December 31

Cleveland Monsters at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Cleveland Monsters
1:5
Final
Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CLEGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
23%77%
xG
1.52.4
High danger
23
Chances
39
Shots
2130

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
GR above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal30
3Scoring chances9
2High-danger chances3
1.50Expected goals2.41

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–100–30–10.3–0.8
2nd6–131–41–10.5–1.1
3rd8–72–21–10.7–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Zach Sawchenko
Shots faced
30
Saves
25
Allowed
5
xGA
2.41
GSAx
-2.59
Jack Campbell
Shots faced
21
Saves
20
Allowed
1
xGA
1.50
GSAx
+0.50

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:41William Lagesson (0–1)low · 51 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 1st 5:51Dominik Shine (0–2)low · 45 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 1st 6:11Penalty
  • 1st 8:08Eemil Viro (0–3)5v4 · high · 32 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 1st 15:29Antti Tuomisto (0–4)low · wrist · 39 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 1st 15:53Penalty
  • 1st 19:47Penalty
  • 2nd 14:57Alex Doucet (0–5)low · 49 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 16:58Penalty
  • 3rd 3:29Penalty
  • 3rd 17:35Penalty
  • 3rd 18:24Luca Del Bel Belluz (1–5)5v4 · medium · 47 ft · beat Jack Campbell