AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, December 31

Charlotte Checkers at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Charlotte Checkers
6:3
Final
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

CLTLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
64%36%
xG
2.72.3
High danger
54
Chances
107
Shots
2821

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal21
10Scoring chances7
5High-danger chances4
2.66Expected goals2.28

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–63–30–10.7–0.6
2nd9–84–13–11.1–0.8
3rd10–73–32–20.9–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV32:53 of the 3rd17:0710:56+0.022 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cal Petersen
Shots faced
28
Saves
22
Allowed
6
xGA
2.66
GSAx
-3.34
Chris Driedger
Shots faced
21
Saves
18
Allowed
3
xGA
2.28
GSAx
-0.72

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 14:49Penalty
  • 2nd 0:47Penalty
  • 2nd 1:46John Leonard (1–0)4v5 · high · 23 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 2:35John Leonard (2–0)4v5 · high · 24 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 3:13Penalty
  • 2nd 10:08Penalty
  • 2nd 13:00Garrett Wilson (2–1)grade A · wrist · rebound · 12 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 2nd 13:29Penalty
  • 2nd 13:29Penalty
  • 2nd 16:44Rasmus Asplund (3–1)medium · 18 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 2:53Kyle Criscuolo (4–1)high · 14 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 3:55Penalty
  • 3rd 4:35Penalty
  • 3rd 4:35Penalty
  • 3rd 4:35Penalty
  • 3rd 4:35Penalty
  • 3rd 4:35Penalty
  • 3rd 7:14J.R. Avon (4–2)grade A · rebound · 20 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 7:39Rodrigo Abols (4–3)low · slap · 46 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 13:25Riley Hughes (5–3)high · 15 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 15:28Penalty
  • 3rd 16:29Penalty
  • 3rd 16:29Oliver Okuliar (6–3)5v4 · medium · 14 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 18:47Penalty
  • 3rd 18:47Penalty
  • 3rd 18:47Penalty
  • 3rd 18:47Penalty
  • 3rd 18:47Penalty
  • 3rd 18:47Penalty
  • 3rd 18:47Penalty