AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 4

Rochester Americans at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Rochester Americans
6:3
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

ROCBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
26%74%
xG
1.42.9
High danger
23
Chances
612
Shots
2339

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal39
6Scoring chances12
2High-danger chances3
1.42Expected goals2.90

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–121–60–20.5–1.1
2nd6–112–21–10.4–0.7
3rd7–163–41–00.6–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Felix Sandström
Shots faced
39
Saves
36
Allowed
3
xGA
2.90
GSAx
-0.10
Henrik Tikkanen
Shots faced
12
Saves
8
Allowed
4
xGA
0.75
GSAx
-3.25
Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
11
Saves
9
Allowed
2
xGA
0.66
GSAx
-1.34

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:41Liam Foudy (0–1)medium · 23 ft · beat Felix Sandström
  • 1st 6:07Penalty
  • 1st 8:52Mason Jobst (1–1)low · 34 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 1st 11:45Aleksandr Kisakov (2–1)low · 26 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 1st 15:07Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 0:59Alex Jefferies (2–2)5v4 · low · 59 ft · beat Felix Sandström
  • 2nd 1:53Graham Slaggert (3–2)4v5 · high · 20 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 4:40Mason Jobst (4–2)medium · 30 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 9:03William Dufour (4–3)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Felix Sandström
  • 3rd 0:33Penalty
  • 3rd 9:44Penalty
  • 3rd 12:59Penalty
  • 3rd 12:59Penalty
  • 3rd 12:59Penalty
  • 3rd 18:43Lukáš Rousek (5–3)empty net · low · 45 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 3rd 19:15Brett Murray (6–3)empty net · low · 86 ft · beat Jakub Skarek