AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 4

Providence Bruins at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Providence Bruins
3:4
Final / SO
Hershey Bears

The sheet

PROHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
63%37%
xG
3.53.2
High danger
64
Chances
1411
Shots
2834

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal34
14Scoring chances11
6High-danger chances4
3.52Expected goals3.23

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–144–72–30.7–1.7
2nd13–119–24–12.1–0.8
3rd8–61–20–00.6–0.5
OT1–30–00–00.1–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Michael DiPietro
Shots faced
34
Saves
31
Allowed
3
xGA
3.23
GSAx
+0.23
Hunter Shepard
Shots faced
28
Saves
25
Allowed
3
xGA
3.52
GSAx
+0.52

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:33Pierrick Dubé (0–1)high · 9 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 1st 9:49Penalty
  • 1st 10:39Penalty
  • 1st 13:09Spencer Smallman (0–2)high · 15 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 1st 14:25Penalty
  • 1st 14:25Penalty
  • 1st 15:07Penalty
  • 1st 15:07Penalty
  • 1st 15:07Penalty
  • 1st 15:39Mike Sgarbossa (0–3)5v4 · medium · 16 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 1st 15:50Penalty
  • 1st 18:00Penalty
  • 1st 18:23Penalty
  • 1st 19:12Patrick Brown (1–3)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 1:08Penalty
  • 2nd 9:39Riley Tufte (2–3)grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 16:15Penalty
  • 2nd 17:21Penalty
  • 2nd 17:21Penalty
  • 2nd 18:27Vinni Lettieri (3–3)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 19:31Penalty
  • 2nd 19:31Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 3:14Penalty
  • 3rd 3:14Penalty
  • 3rd 6:30Penalty
  • 3rd 11:17Penalty