AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 4

Belleville Senators at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Belleville Senators
7:2
Final
Utica Comets

The sheet

BELUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
86%14%
xG
3.81.6
High danger
51
Chances
136
Shots
3021

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal21
13Scoring chances6
5High-danger chances1
3.77Expected goals1.64

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–55–01–01.0–0.3
2nd14–85–32–01.4–0.6
3rd7–83–32–11.3–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

UTC−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
UTC50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Mark Sinclair
Shots faced
21
Saves
19
Allowed
2
xGA
1.64
GSAx
-0.36
Jeremy Brodeur
Shots faced
16
Saves
12
Allowed
4
xGA
2.16
GSAx
-1.84
Isaac Poulter
Shots faced
14
Saves
11
Allowed
3
xGA
1.61
GSAx
-1.39

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:33Penalty
  • 1st 2:15Penalty
  • 1st 3:29Wyatt Bongiovanni (1–0)5v4 · medium · 37 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 1st 10:27Penalty
  • 1st 16:56Hayden Hodgson (2–0)low · 48 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 1st 19:51Penalty
  • 2nd 1:24Wyatt Bongiovanni (3–0)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 2nd 6:18Jan Jeník (4–0)low · 32 ft · beat Jeremy Brodeur
  • 2nd 7:44Angus Crookshank (5–0)medium · 25 ft · beat Jeremy Brodeur
  • 2nd 18:51Maxence Guenette (6–0)low · 20 ft · beat Jeremy Brodeur
  • 2nd 19:49Joe Gambardella (6–1)low · 18 ft · beat Mark Sinclair
  • 3rd 6:43Penalty
  • 3rd 6:43Penalty
  • 3rd 9:01Wyatt Bongiovanni (7–1)grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Jeremy Brodeur
  • 3rd 15:26Penalty
  • 3rd 15:26Penalty
  • 3rd 15:26Penalty
  • 3rd 15:26Penalty
  • 3rd 18:50Penalty
  • 3rd 18:50Penalty
  • 3rd 19:49Penalty
  • 3rd 19:49Brian Halonen (7–2)5v4 · high · 35 ft · beat Mark Sinclair