AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 4

Abbotsford Canucks at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Abbotsford Canucks
2:6
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

ABBLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
52%48%
xG
2.12.0
High danger
54
Chances
67
Shots
2626

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal26
6Scoring chances7
5High-danger chances4
2.14Expected goals2.04

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–92–12–10.6–0.7
2nd9–81–20–10.5–0.6
3rd12–93–43–21.1–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB32:52 of the 3rd17:0817:08+0.022 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nikita Tolopilo
Shots faced
26
Saves
20
Allowed
6
xGA
2.04
GSAx
-3.96
Connor Hughes
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.14
GSAx
+0.14

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:30Penalty
  • 1st 0:57Penalty
  • 1st 4:50Penalty
  • 1st 6:49Penalty
  • 1st 7:15Sean Farrell (0–1)5v4 · low · wrist · 52 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 1st 8:38Penalty
  • 1st 16:46Filip Mešár (0–2)low · 21 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 1st 16:53Penalty
  • 1st 16:53Penalty
  • 1st 17:22Penalty
  • 2nd 1:37Tristen Nielsen (1–2)low · wrist · 24 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 2nd 17:45Rafaël Harvey-Pinard (1–3)high · tip · 12 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 3rd 2:52Vincent Arseneau (1–4)high · tip · 11 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 3rd 10:26Joshua Roy (1–5)medium · wrist · 19 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 3rd 16:25Penalty
  • 3rd 16:25Penalty
  • 3rd 17:34Ty Mueller (2–5)low · wrist · 61 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 3rd 19:53Gustav Lindström (2–6)empty net · low · wrist · 157 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo