AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, January 5

Rockford IceHogs at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Rockford IceHogs
5:3
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

RFDCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
67%33%
xG
3.72.3
High danger
75
Chances
157
Shots
3026

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineRFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal26
15Scoring chances7
7High-danger chances5
3.66Expected goals2.30

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–86–23–11.6–0.6
2nd6–123–32–20.6–1.2
3rd15–66–22–21.4–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ruslan Khazheyev
Shots faced
30
Saves
25
Allowed
5
xGA
3.66
GSAx
-1.34
Mitchell Weeks
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
2.30
GSAx
-0.70

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:45Justin Robidas (0–1)high · rebound · 22 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 1st 10:11Penalty
  • 1st 10:18Joey Anderson (1–1)5v4 · grade A · 7 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 1st 15:22Penalty
  • 1st 19:25Joey Anderson (2–1)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 2nd 5:17Penalty
  • 2nd 8:57Noel Gunler (2–2)low · 34 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 2nd 18:47Cole Guttman (3–2)high · 10 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 2nd 18:57Penalty
  • 3rd 5:50Nikita Pavlychev (3–3)high · 5 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 3rd 15:14Penalty
  • 3rd 15:50Joey Anderson (4–3)5v4 · high · 7 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 3rd 16:41Penalty
  • 3rd 19:08Joey Anderson (5–3)empty net · low · 62 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev