AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, January 5

Colorado Eagles at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Colorado Eagles
3:4
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

COLSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
26%74%
xG
2.73.8
High danger
49
Chances
915
Shots
3635

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal35
9Scoring chances15
4High-danger chances9
2.68Expected goals3.75

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–152–71–60.3–2.0
2nd19–165–72–31.6–1.5
3rd13–42–11–00.7–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

COL−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
COL116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
36
Saves
33
Allowed
3
xGA
2.68
GSAx
-0.32
Kevin Mandolese
Shots faced
35
Saves
31
Allowed
4
xGA
3.75
GSAx
-0.25

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:30Justin Bailey (0–1)high · 6 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 1st 9:03Penalty
  • 1st 11:37Lucas Vanroboys (0–2)grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 1st 12:47Thomas Bordeleau (0–3)low · rebound · 26 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 1st 17:14Penalty
  • 2nd 3:15Maroš Jedlička (1–3)grade A · rebound · 24 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 7:02Penalty
  • 2nd 7:09Penalty
  • 2nd 7:26Jack Ahcan (2–3)medium · 15 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 13:21Donavan Houle (2–4)medium · 10 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 2nd 19:38Jacob MacDonald (3–4)low · 43 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 0:55Penalty