AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, January 5

San Diego Gulls at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

San Diego Gulls
2:3
Final / OT
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

SDCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
21%79%
xG
1.42.0
High danger
13
Chances
48
Shots
2126

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal26
4Scoring chances8
1High-danger chances3
1.39Expected goals2.03

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st3–120–40–10.2–0.9
2nd5–80–40–20.2–0.9
3rd13–54–01–01.0–0.2
OT0–10–00–00.0–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD212:09 of the 3rd7:514:22+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Calle Clang
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
2.03
GSAx
-0.97
Jack LaFontaine
Shots faced
21
Saves
19
Allowed
2
xGA
1.38
GSAx
-0.62

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:58Penalty
  • 1st 9:21Penalty
  • 1st 14:20Mitchell Stephens (0–1)high · rebound · 18 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 6:44Penalty
  • 2nd 11:00Jagger Firkus (0–2)high · 6 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 15:48Penalty
  • 2nd 19:58Penalty
  • 2nd 19:58Penalty
  • 3rd 8:40Penalty
  • 3rd 16:15Sasha Pastujov (1–2)low · 13 ft · beat Jack LaFontaine
  • 3rd 17:12Sam Colangelo (2–2)medium · 18 ft · beat Jack LaFontaine
  • OT 0:49Penalty
  • OT 1:00Penalty
  • OT 1:00Jani Nyman (2–3)5v4 · low · 140 ft · beat Calle Clang