AHLDashboard
Wednesday, January 8

Manitoba Moose at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Manitoba Moose
4:3
Final / OT
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

MBMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
45%55%
xG
2.32.6
High danger
43
Chances
48
Shots
2935

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal35
4Scoring chances8
4High-danger chances3
2.34Expected goals2.61

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st81112110.60.6
2nd91223210.81.1
3rd7913110.50.7
OT5300000.40.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
35
Saves
32
Allowed
3
xGA
2.61
GSAx
-0.39
Shots faced
29
Saves
25
Allowed
4
xGA
2.34
GSAx
-1.66

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 2nd 4:58Ben King (1–0)low · 41 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 2nd 6:52Kevin Gravel (1–1)low · 38 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 2nd 8:06Penalty
  • 2nd 14:20Jake Livingstone (1–2)low · 60 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 2nd 18:28Penalty
  • 2nd 18:34Mason Shaw (2–2)5v4 · grade A · 13 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 1:29Parker Ford (3–2)low · 51 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 4:28Penalty
  • 3rd 6:25Penalty
  • 3rd 7:56Penalty
  • 3rd 10:10Marc Del Gaizo (3–3)low · 41 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • OT 4:59Dylan Anhorn (4–3)low · 35 ft · beat Magnus Chrona