Iowa Wild at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Iowa Wild

1:5

Final

San Diego Gulls

The sheet

IASDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

75%25%

xG: 3.02.0
High danger: 54
Chances: 126
Shots: 3919

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

SD above the lineIA belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal19

12Scoring chances6

5High-danger chances4

3.04Expected goals1.96

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	14–6	4–1	3–1	1.1–0.5
2nd	13–11	3–3	2–1	1.0–1.0
3rd	12–2	5–2	0–2	1.0–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
IA	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	15:38	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Calle Clang

Shots faced: 39
Saves: 38
Allowed: 1
xGA: 3.04
GSAx: +2.04

Dylan Ferguson

Shots faced: 19
Saves: 14
Allowed: 5
xGA: 1.96
GSAx: -3.04

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:17Carson Meyer (0–1)low · 44 ft · beat Dylan Ferguson
2nd 5:55Penalty
2nd 8:34Penalty
2nd 9:47Yegor Sidorov (0–2)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Dylan Ferguson
2nd 11:33Penalty
2nd 14:42Carson Meyer (0–3)5v4 · low · 16 ft · beat Dylan Ferguson
3rd 1:07Penalty
3rd 2:38Travis Boyd (1–3)5v4 · medium · 18 ft · beat Calle Clang
3rd 7:00Rodwin Dionicio (1–4)high · 30 ft · beat Dylan Ferguson
3rd 7:15Penalty
3rd 10:19Penalty
3rd 14:51Jan Myšák (1–5)high · 13 ft · beat Dylan Ferguson
3rd 16:58Penalty
3rd 16:58Penalty