AHLDashboard
Wednesday, January 8

Ontario Reign at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

Ontario Reign
2:1
Final / OT
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

ONTHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
59%41%
xG
3.42.3
High danger
66
Chances
98
Shots
3523

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineONT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal23
9Scoring chances8
6High-danger chances6
3.38Expected goals2.35

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12904030.70.9
2nd15963321.80.9
3rd7531310.80.6
OT1000000.10.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
35
Saves
33
Allowed
2
xGA
3.38
GSAx
+1.38
Shots faced
23
Saves
22
Allowed
1
xGA
2.35
GSAx
+1.35

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 11:23Penalty
  • 1st 12:28Jakub Brabenec (0–1)5v4 · high · wrist · 9 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 1st 15:40Cole Krygier (1–1)low · slap · 61 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 3rd 9:38Penalty
  • 3rd 11:18Penalty
  • 3rd 12:32Penalty
  • 3rd 12:32Penalty
  • 3rd 12:32Penalty
  • 3rd 18:34Penalty
  • OT 0:31Samuel Fagemo (2–1)5v4 · low · slap · 54 ft · beat Carl Lindbom