AHLDashboard
Friday, January 10

Hartford Wolf Pack at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Hartford Wolf Pack
3:2
Final / OT
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

HFDLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
19%81%
xG
2.23.7
High danger
16
Chances
813
Shots
2230

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal30
8Scoring chances13
1High-danger chances6
2.18Expected goals3.72

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st51426030.41.7
2nd11644121.21.1
3rd5922000.50.5
OT1101010.10.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
3.72
GSAx
+1.72
Shots faced
22
Saves
19
Allowed
3
xGA
2.18
GSAx
-0.82

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:54Penalty
  • 1st 8:37Massimo Rizzo (0–1)low · 57 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 1st 11:02Penalty
  • 1st 18:39Alex Belzile (1–1)medium · 22 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 19:53Penalty
  • 2nd 5:16Adam Sýkora (2–1)medium · 21 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 5:58Penalty
  • 2nd 7:44Penalty
  • 2nd 8:54Alexis Gendron (2–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 9:24Penalty
  • 2nd 15:05Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 10:33Penalty
  • OT 1:41Victor Mancini (3–2)low · 31 ft · beat Cal Petersen