AHLDashboard
Saturday, January 11

Manitoba Moose at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Manitoba Moose
1:0
Final
Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

MBGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
30%70%
xG
2.02.3
High danger
24
Chances
47
Shots
2726

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
GR above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal26
4Scoring chances7
2High-danger chances4
1.97Expected goals2.30

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st61213020.41.0
2nd8503010.40.6
3rd13931211.20.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR119:25 of the 3rd0:350:35+0.011 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
27
Saves
26
Allowed
1
xGA
1.97
GSAx
+0.97
Shots faced
26
Saves
26
Allowed
0
xGA
2.30
GSAx
+2.30

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:07Penalty
  • 1st 8:29Penalty
  • 1st 8:29Penalty
  • 1st 8:29Penalty
  • 1st 11:36Penalty
  • 1st 18:22Penalty
  • 2nd 2:24Penalty
  • 2nd 5:10Penalty
  • 2nd 12:39Penalty
  • 3rd 19:17Penalty
  • 3rd 19:25Parker Ford (1–0)5v4 · high · slap · 6 ft · beat Jack Campbell