AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 11

Toronto Marlies at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Toronto Marlies
1:4
Final
Utica Comets

The sheet

TORUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
12%88%
xG
1.83.1
High danger
06
Chances
611
Shots
2833

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal33
6Scoring chances11
0High-danger chances6
1.82Expected goals3.09

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–90–10–10.3–0.6
2nd12–83–40–20.9–1.0
3rd10–163–60–30.7–1.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TOR−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TOR212:22 of the 3rd7:387:38+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Vyacheslav Peksa
Shots faced
33
Saves
29
Allowed
4
xGA
3.09
GSAx
-0.91
Jeremy Brodeur
Shots faced
28
Saves
27
Allowed
1
xGA
1.82
GSAx
+0.82

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:29Penalty
  • 1st 3:07Alex Steeves (1–0)5v4 · low · 39 ft · beat Jeremy Brodeur
  • 1st 7:13Penalty
  • 1st 13:17Penalty
  • 1st 15:57Filip Engaras (1–1)high · 7 ft · beat Vyacheslav Peksa
  • 2nd 1:54Penalty
  • 2nd 6:16Penalty
  • 2nd 18:50Brian Halonen (1–2)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Vyacheslav Peksa
  • 3rd 4:12Penalty
  • 3rd 10:55Penalty
  • 3rd 10:55Penalty
  • 3rd 12:22Nolan Foote (1–3)grade A · rebound · 32 ft · beat Vyacheslav Peksa
  • 3rd 15:32Penalty
  • 3rd 16:59Nolan Foote (1–4)empty net · high · 20 ft · beat Vyacheslav Peksa
  • 3rd 19:42Penalty
  • 3rd 19:42Penalty
  • 3rd 19:42Penalty
  • 3rd 19:42Penalty