AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 11

Texas Stars at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Texas Stars
6:1
Final
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

TEXRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
47%53%
xG
2.32.7
High danger
34
Chances
811
Shots
3031

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal31
8Scoring chances11
3High-danger chances4
2.31Expected goals2.75

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–102–11–00.7–0.5
2nd11–84–32–20.9–0.9
3rd9–132–70–20.6–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

RFD−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
RFD40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
31
Saves
30
Allowed
1
xGA
2.75
GSAx
+1.75
Mitchell Weeks
Shots faced
30
Saves
24
Allowed
6
xGA
2.31
GSAx
-3.69

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 2nd 0:55Antonio Stranges (1–0)high · 20 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 2nd 8:28Kole Lind (2–0)medium · 11 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 2nd 10:46Penalty
  • 2nd 11:04Cameron Hughes (3–0)5v4 · low · 53 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 2nd 17:16Penalty
  • 2nd 17:16Penalty
  • 2nd 17:16Penalty
  • 2nd 17:16Penalty
  • 2nd 19:42Curtis McKenzie (4–0)high · 29 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 3rd 5:44Jack Becker (5–0)medium · 17 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 3rd 12:50Penalty
  • 3rd 14:16Penalty
  • 3rd 15:16Curtis McKenzie (6–0)5v4 · medium · 25 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 3rd 17:14Landon Slaggert (6–1)high · rebound · 14 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 17:49Penalty
  • 3rd 17:49Penalty
  • 3rd 17:49Penalty
  • 3rd 17:49Penalty
  • 3rd 17:49Penalty
  • 3rd 19:59Penalty