AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 11

San Jose Barracuda at Bakersfield Condors

Mechanics Bank Arena · Bakersfield, CA

San Jose Barracuda
4:5
Final / OT
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

SJBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
11%89%
xG
1.95.6
High danger
39
Chances
418
Shots
3051

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0246P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal51
4Scoring chances18
3High-danger chances9
1.91Expected goals5.61

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–182–92–50.9–2.2
2nd13–181–70–40.6–2.1
3rd4–91–21–00.3–0.9
OT1–60–00–00.1–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Aaron Dell
Shots faced
51
Saves
46
Allowed
5
xGA
5.61
GSAx
+0.61
Olivier Rodrigue
Shots faced
30
Saves
26
Allowed
4
xGA
1.91
GSAx
-2.09

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:16Penalty
  • 1st 15:17Penalty
  • 1st 18:32Brandon Coe (1–0)grade A · wrist · 30 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 3:45Jayden Grubbe (1–1)medium · wrist · 34 ft · beat Aaron Dell
  • 2nd 11:02Anthony Vincent (2–1)low · wrist · 29 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 11:44Scott Sabourin (3–1)low · wrist · 56 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 16:20Ethan Cardwell (4–1)low · wrist · 26 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 19:35Connor Carrick (4–2)low · wrist · 30 ft · beat Aaron Dell
  • 3rd 0:35Penalty
  • 3rd 2:12Penalty
  • 3rd 6:32Cameron Wright (4–3)low · wrist · 34 ft · beat Aaron Dell
  • 3rd 7:01Penalty
  • 3rd 7:11Penalty
  • 3rd 7:28Drake Caggiula (4–4)low · slap · 37 ft · beat Aaron Dell
  • 3rd 11:23Penalty
  • 3rd 11:23Penalty
  • OT 2:45Connor Carrick (4–5)low · wrist · 13 ft · beat Aaron Dell