AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, January 12

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
3:4
Final
Belleville Senators

The sheet

WBSBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
40%60%
xG
2.73.1
High danger
24
Chances
119
Shots
2833

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal33
11Scoring chances9
2High-danger chances4
2.69Expected goals3.15

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–122–61–30.6–1.7
2nd12–97–01–01.5–0.4
3rd10–122–30–10.7–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS119:57 of the 3rd0:030:03+0.001 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Filip Larsson
Shots faced
33
Saves
29
Allowed
4
xGA
3.14
GSAx
-0.86
Michael Simpson
Shots faced
28
Saves
25
Allowed
3
xGA
2.69
GSAx
-0.31

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:14Penalty
  • 1st 5:14Penalty
  • 1st 10:44Emil Bemström (1–0)low · 25 ft · beat Michael Simpson
  • 1st 12:03Penalty
  • 1st 12:52Wyatt Bongiovanni (1–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 1st 14:53Penalty
  • 1st 18:09Penalty
  • 1st 18:09Penalty
  • 2nd 3:31Penalty
  • 2nd 4:38Avery Hayes (2–1)5v4 · medium · 28 ft · beat Michael Simpson
  • 2nd 7:46Penalty
  • 2nd 14:23Penalty
  • 3rd 0:33Wyatt Bongiovanni (2–2)low · 51 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 6:12Emil Bemström (3–2)low · 30 ft · beat Michael Simpson
  • 3rd 7:40Stephen Halliday (3–3)low · 24 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 12:07Penalty
  • 3rd 12:07Penalty
  • 3rd 18:29Penalty
  • 3rd 19:57Wyatt Bongiovanni (3–4)5v4 · low · 45 ft · beat Filip Larsson