Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

0:5

Final

Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

LVBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

32%68%

xG: 1.72.4
High danger: 13
Chances: 68
Shots: 2129

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

BRI above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal29

6Scoring chances8

1High-danger chances3

1.74Expected goals2.40

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–10	5–2	0–2	0.9–0.8
2nd	4–14	0–2	0–0	0.1–1.0
3rd	9–5	1–4	1–1	0.7–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LV	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cal Petersen

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 24
Allowed: 5
xGA: 2.40
GSAx: -2.60

Henrik Tikkanen

Shots faced: 21
Saves: 21
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.74
GSAx: +1.74

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:34Penalty
1st 2:34Penalty
1st 5:59Penalty
1st 7:48Liam Foudy (0–1)5v4 · low · 63 ft · beat Cal Petersen
1st 12:32Penalty
2nd 4:40Brian Pinho (0–2)medium · 19 ft · beat Cal Petersen
2nd 10:54Chris Terry (0–3)low · 29 ft · beat Cal Petersen
2nd 17:35Penalty
3rd 5:57Penalty
3rd 14:24Penalty
3rd 16:37Penalty
3rd 16:37Penalty
3rd 16:37Gemel Smith (0–4)medium · 11 ft · beat Cal Petersen
3rd 18:58Chris Terry (0–5)high · 15 ft · beat Cal Petersen
3rd 19:11Penalty
3rd 19:22Penalty