AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, January 14

Milwaukee Admirals at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Milwaukee Admirals
5:2
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

MILCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
39%61%
xG
2.52.5
High danger
23
Chances
1212
Shots
2529

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 58% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal29
12Scoring chances12
2High-danger chances3
2.52Expected goals2.47

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st3–130–50–10.1–1.2
2nd5–82–40–20.4–0.8
3rd17–810–32–02.0–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Magnus Chrona
Shots faced
29
Saves
27
Allowed
2
xGA
2.47
GSAx
+0.47
Chris Driedger
Shots faced
25
Saves
20
Allowed
5
xGA
2.52
GSAx
-2.48

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:26Justin Sourdif (0–1)medium · wrist · 3 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 1st 4:48Penalty
  • 1st 10:08Trevor Carrick (0–2)low · wrist · 59 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 2nd 2:29Penalty
  • 2nd 4:04Penalty
  • 2nd 13:56Penalty
  • 2nd 18:28Penalty
  • 2nd 18:28Penalty
  • 2nd 19:28Penalty
  • 3rd 0:51Scott Reedy (1–2)5v4 · medium · 12 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 3:07Penalty
  • 3rd 5:50Kyle Marino (2–2)medium · 26 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 6:36Penalty
  • 3rd 8:32Penalty
  • 3rd 8:32Alex Campbell (3–2)5v4 · high · 11 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 9:29Penalty
  • 3rd 17:32Alex Campbell (4–2)empty net · medium · 30 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 19:56Marc Del Gaizo (5–2)empty net · low · 92 ft · beat Chris Driedger