AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 15

Milwaukee Admirals at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Milwaukee Admirals
2:4
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

MILCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
23%77%
xG
1.32.7
High danger
23
Chances
49
Shots
1534

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 58% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

15Shots on goal34
4Scoring chances9
2High-danger chances3
1.31Expected goals2.71

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–101–41–20.6–1.2
2nd2–181–31–10.3–1.1
3rd8–62–20–00.5–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MIL−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MIL116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Matthew Murray
Shots faced
34
Saves
30
Allowed
4
xGA
2.70
GSAx
-1.30
Ken Appleby
Shots faced
15
Saves
13
Allowed
2
xGA
1.31
GSAx
-0.69

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:43Kyle Criscuolo (0–1)high · 6 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 1st 4:59Penalty
  • 1st 4:59Penalty
  • 1st 4:59Penalty
  • 1st 6:07Kevin Wall (1–1)4v5 · grade A · 14 ft · beat Ken Appleby
  • 1st 6:55Penalty
  • 1st 12:38Penalty
  • 1st 13:47Penalty
  • 1st 15:45Penalty
  • 1st 19:24Penalty
  • 2nd 0:20Penalty
  • 2nd 3:35Penalty
  • 2nd 11:48Ryder Rolston (2–1)high · 20 ft · beat Ken Appleby
  • 2nd 16:29Will Lockwood (2–2)low · 19 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 3rd 1:30Kyle Criscuolo (2–3)medium · 21 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 3rd 5:27Penalty
  • 3rd 5:39Penalty
  • 3rd 19:39Rasmus Asplund (2–4)empty net · low · 89 ft · beat Matthew Murray