AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 15

Chicago Wolves at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Chicago Wolves
2:5
Final
Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CHIGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
44%56%
xG
2.82.8
High danger
68
Chances
1110
Shots
2626

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
GR above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal26
11Scoring chances10
6High-danger chances8
2.82Expected goals2.85

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–53–12–10.9–0.4
2nd8–104–32–21.1–0.8
3rd8–114–62–50.9–1.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sebastian Cossa
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.82
GSAx
+0.82
Ruslan Khazheyev
Shots faced
26
Saves
21
Allowed
5
xGA
2.85
GSAx
-2.15

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 2nd 4:35Penalty
  • 2nd 14:24Nate Danielson (0–1)high · 8 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 2nd 14:57Penalty
  • 2nd 14:57Penalty
  • 2nd 17:11Penalty
  • 2nd 17:11Nikita Pavlychev (1–1)5v4 · grade A · wrist · rebound · 7 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 19:52Penalty
  • 3rd 6:16Penalty
  • 3rd 7:53Ondrej Becher (1–2)5v4 · medium · slap · 29 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 3rd 8:55Penalty
  • 3rd 10:12Elmer Söderblom (1–3)5v4 · high · wrist · 24 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 3rd 13:05Penalty
  • 3rd 14:33Austin Watson (1–4)empty net · low · wrist · 82 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 3rd 15:41Jordan Martel (2–4)medium · wrist · 25 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 3rd 17:13Joe Snively (2–5)empty net · low · wrist · 53 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 3rd 17:47Penalty
  • 3rd 17:47Penalty
  • 3rd 18:59Penalty