AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 15

Hartford Wolf Pack at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Hartford Wolf Pack
3:7
Final
Utica Comets

The sheet

HFDUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
38%62%
xG
2.22.5
High danger
25
Chances
89
Shots
2829

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal29
8Scoring chances9
2High-danger chances5
2.16Expected goals2.48

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–133–40–30.7–1.2
2nd11–75–22–01.1–0.6
3rd6–90–30–20.3–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD311:42 of the 3rd8:188:18+0.011 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dylan Garand
Shots faced
29
Saves
22
Allowed
7
xGA
2.48
GSAx
-4.52
Nico Daws
Shots faced
28
Saves
25
Allowed
3
xGA
2.16
GSAx
-0.84

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 11:37Penalty
  • 1st 12:14Penalty
  • 1st 12:48Max Willman (0–1)low · 27 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 1st 14:00Nolan Foote (0–2)5v4 · medium · 33 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 1st 18:57Penalty
  • 2nd 5:06Chase Stillman (0–3)medium · 27 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 5:38Benoit-Olivier Groulx (1–3)medium · 14 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 7:41Penalty
  • 2nd 8:38Dylan Roobroeck (2–3)4v5 · high · 15 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 10:37Anton Blidh (3–3)low · 59 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 13:01Šimon Nemec (3–4)medium · 8 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 13:08Penalty
  • 3rd 1:33Šimon Nemec (3–5)medium · 17 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 11:42Max Willman (3–6)high · 17 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 16:50Penalty
  • 3rd 16:50Xavier Parent (3–7)high · 9 ft · beat Dylan Garand