AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 15

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
3:4
Final / OT
Laval Rocket

The sheet

WBSLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
51%49%
xG
3.94.3
High danger
126
Chances
1817
Shots
3042

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal42
18Scoring chances17
12High-danger chances6
3.93Expected goals4.30

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–123–61–20.8–1.2
2nd16–1110–28–12.2–0.9
3rd6–155–73–10.9–1.4
OT0–40–20–20.0–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV36:14 of the 3rd13:468:01+0.019 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cayden Primeau
Shots faced
30
Saves
27
Allowed
3
xGA
3.93
GSAx
+0.93
Jaxon Castor
Shots faced
30
Saves
26
Allowed
4
xGA
3.08
GSAx
-0.92
Filip Larsson
Shots faced
12
Saves
12
Allowed
0
xGA
1.22
GSAx
+1.22

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 11:24Avery Hayes (1–0)medium · tip · 17 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 1st 14:40Penalty
  • 1st 15:22Jonathan Gruden (2–0)4v5 · high · 22 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 4:32Penalty
  • 2nd 4:32Penalty
  • 2nd 5:16Penalty
  • 2nd 12:32Penalty
  • 2nd 15:10Penalty
  • 2nd 15:45Penalty
  • 2nd 19:42Penalty
  • 3rd 1:11Penalty
  • 3rd 6:14Emil Bemström (3–0)high · wrist · 21 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 7:53Penalty
  • 3rd 9:05Penalty
  • 3rd 12:04William Trudeau (3–1)low · 30 ft · beat Jaxon Castor
  • 3rd 14:20Florian Xhekaj (3–2)medium · wrist · 19 ft · beat Jaxon Castor
  • 3rd 16:42Gustav Lindström (3–3)low · 30 ft · beat Jaxon Castor
  • 3rd 18:14Penalty
  • OT 2:16Jared Davidson (3–4)grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Jaxon Castor