AHLDashboard
Wednesday, January 15

Bakersfield Condors at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Bakersfield Condors
4:3
Final / OT
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

BAKCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
13%87%
xG
2.03.6
High danger
19
Chances
714
Shots
2135

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineBAK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal35
7Scoring chances14
1High-danger chances9
1.99Expected goals3.58

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st61616140.51.7
2nd9651011.00.4
3rd51116040.41.3
OT1201000.10.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
35
Saves
32
Allowed
3
xGA
3.58
GSAx
+0.58
Shots faced
21
Saves
17
Allowed
4
xGA
1.98
GSAx
-2.02

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 12:58Connor Carrick (1–0)low · 30 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 18:23Ivan Ivan (1–1)low · 49 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 2:03Chase Bradley (1–2)high · 7 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 4:45James Hamblin (2–2)medium · 7 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 10:04Penalty
  • 2nd 14:59Penalty
  • 2nd 17:23James Hamblin (3–2)medium · 12 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 3:08Penalty
  • 3rd 8:30T.J. Tynan (3–3)high · 10 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 3rd 9:30Penalty
  • OT 1:49Seth Griffith (4–3)low · 28 ft · beat Trent Miner