AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 15

Iowa Wild at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Iowa Wild
7:5
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

IASDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
61%39%
xG
3.63.0
High danger
85
Chances
1513
Shots
3130

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineIA belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal30
15Scoring chances13
8High-danger chances5
3.57Expected goals2.97

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–83–52–20.8–0.9
2nd11–94–31–21.0–0.8
3rd10–138–55–11.7–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Samuel Hlavaj
Shots faced
30
Saves
25
Allowed
5
xGA
2.97
GSAx
-2.03
Oscar Dansk
Shots faced
26
Saves
21
Allowed
5
xGA
2.72
GSAx
-2.28
Vyacheslav Buteyets
Shots faced
5
Saves
3
Allowed
2
xGA
0.85
GSAx
-1.15

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:20Penalty
  • 1st 2:20Penalty
  • 1st 2:54Caedan Bankier (1–0)high · rebound · 24 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 4:01Liam Öhgren (2–0)medium · 9 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 8:17Nico Myatovic (2–1)medium · 8 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 1st 15:42Penalty
  • 1st 16:27Penalty
  • 1st 16:27Jan Myšák (2–2)5v4 · medium · 43 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 2nd 2:07Penalty
  • 2nd 6:16Tristan Luneau (2–3)low · 68 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 2nd 6:35Penalty
  • 2nd 8:22Liam Öhgren (3–3)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 10:42Brendan Gaunce (4–3)medium · 28 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 12:05Penalty
  • 2nd 13:20Penalty
  • 3rd 3:56Penalty
  • 3rd 4:24Hunter Haight (5–3)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 4:44Carson Meyer (5–4)low · 47 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 3rd 8:21Bradley Marek (6–4)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Vyacheslav Buteyets
  • 3rd 12:40Adam Raška (7–4)medium · 20 ft · beat Vyacheslav Buteyets
  • 3rd 13:09Penalty
  • 3rd 17:50Penalty
  • 3rd 19:40Sasha Pastujov (7–5)5v4 · low · 46 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj