AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 18

Springfield Thunderbirds at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Springfield Thunderbirds
6:4
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

SPRBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
71%29%
xG
4.53.1
High danger
54
Chances
138
Shots
4336

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineSPR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

43Shots on goal36
13Scoring chances8
5High-danger chances4
4.48Expected goals3.13

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–102–10–00.6–0.8
2nd17–155–42–21.8–1.4
3rd15–116–33–22.0–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI311:13 of the 3rd8:478:47+0.012 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Hunter Miska
Shots faced
43
Saves
37
Allowed
6
xGA
4.48
GSAx
-1.52
Colten Ellis
Shots faced
36
Saves
32
Allowed
4
xGA
3.13
GSAx
-0.87

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:40Penalty
  • 2nd 2:43Otto Stenberg (1–0)low · 30 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 2nd 2:52Penalty
  • 2nd 2:52Penalty
  • 2nd 2:52Penalty
  • 2nd 3:29Chris Terry (1–1)5v4 · medium · 23 ft · beat Colten Ellis
  • 2nd 3:46Penalty
  • 2nd 6:19Penalty
  • 2nd 8:56Hunter Skinner (2–1)low · 48 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 2nd 13:09Penalty
  • 2nd 13:50Samuel Bolduc (2–2)5v4 · low · 52 ft · beat Colten Ellis
  • 2nd 15:45Hugh McGing (3–2)grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 2nd 16:49Penalty
  • 2nd 16:49Penalty
  • 2nd 19:20Aleksanteri Kaskimäki (4–2)low · 24 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 2nd 19:48Penalty
  • 2nd 19:48Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 0:42Liam Foudy (4–3)grade A · rebound · 32 ft · beat Colten Ellis
  • 3rd 2:27Penalty
  • 3rd 7:33Mackenzie MacEachern (5–3)medium · 13 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 3rd 9:14Penalty
  • 3rd 11:13Hugh McGing (6–3)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 3rd 11:50Penalty
  • 3rd 14:39Penalty
  • 3rd 18:57Penalty
  • 3rd 18:57Penalty
  • 3rd 18:57Penalty
  • 3rd 18:57Eetu Liukas (6–4)high · 13 ft · beat Colten Ellis