Syracuse Crunch at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Syracuse Crunch

0:5

Final

Providence Bruins

The sheet

SYRPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

37%63%

xG: 3.34.4
High danger: 98
Chances: 1520
Shots: 2634

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

PRO above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal34

15Scoring chances20

9High-danger chances8

3.31Expected goals4.38

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–13	5–6	4–2	1.1–1.4
2nd	8–13	4–8	2–5	0.8–2.1
3rd	10–8	6–6	3–1	1.4–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
SYR	4	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Halverson

Shots faced: 34
Saves: 29
Allowed: 5
xGA: 4.38
GSAx: -0.62

Michael DiPietro

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 26
Allowed: 0
xGA: 3.31
GSAx: +3.31

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 7:04Penalty
1st 9:41Penalty
1st 11:12Penalty
1st 12:58Max Jones (0–1)5v4 · medium · 37 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
1st 17:34Penalty
2nd 7:42Trevor Kuntar (0–2)grade A · rebound · 19 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
2nd 10:18John Farinacci (0–3)medium · 20 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
2nd 13:43Penalty
2nd 19:25Georgii Merkulov (0–4)high · 18 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
3rd 8:53Max Jones (0–5)medium · 24 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
3rd 9:13Penalty
3rd 9:13Penalty
3rd 15:32Penalty
3rd 15:32Penalty
3rd 15:32Penalty
3rd 16:30Penalty
3rd 16:30Penalty