AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 18

Calgary Wranglers at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Calgary Wranglers
6:5
Final / OT
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

CGYSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
65%35%
xG
3.53.4
High danger
62
Chances
1313
Shots
2838

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal38
13Scoring chances13
6High-danger chances2
3.54Expected goals3.37

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–153–31–00.7–1.0
2nd5–132–50–10.5–1.3
3rd14–107–54–11.7–1.1
OT1–01–01–00.7–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY116:56 of the 3rd3:042:51+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Connor Murphy
Shots faced
38
Saves
33
Allowed
5
xGA
3.37
GSAx
-1.63
Oscar Dansk
Shots faced
28
Saves
22
Allowed
6
xGA
3.54
GSAx
-2.46

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:58Penalty
  • 1st 15:53Martin Frk (1–0)medium · 27 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 17:29Penalty
  • 2nd 8:30Jonathan Aspirot (2–0)medium · 13 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 9:12Penalty
  • 2nd 12:20Penalty
  • 2nd 13:33Sasha Pastujov (2–1)5v4 · medium · 19 ft · beat Connor Murphy
  • 2nd 16:39Penalty
  • 2nd 16:39Penalty
  • 2nd 16:39Penalty
  • 2nd 19:28Penalty
  • 3rd 4:35Penalty
  • 3rd 7:21Judd Caulfield (2–2)medium · 9 ft · beat Connor Murphy
  • 3rd 8:02Parker Bell (3–2)high · 18 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 8:27Tristan Luneau (3–3)medium · 11 ft · beat Connor Murphy
  • 3rd 9:22Sam Morton (4–3)low · 20 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 11:10Pavol Regenda (4–4)medium · 9 ft · beat Connor Murphy
  • 3rd 14:20Penalty
  • 3rd 14:45Nathan Gaucher (4–5)4v5 · high · 18 ft · beat Connor Murphy
  • 3rd 19:47Penalty
  • 3rd 19:47Penalty
  • 3rd 19:47Hunter Brzustewicz (5–5)high · 9 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • OT 0:47Clark Bishop (6–5)grade A · 11 ft · beat Oscar Dansk