AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 22

Chicago Wolves at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Chicago Wolves
6:5
Final / OT
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

CHICLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
31%69%
xG
3.23.8
High danger
48
Chances
916
Shots
3428

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal28
9Scoring chances16
4High-danger chances8
3.22Expected goals3.77

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–94–41–20.8–1.1
2nd13–75–53–31.5–1.1
3rd10–120–70–30.7–1.6
OT3–00–00–00.2–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE30:00 of the 3rd20:0016:07+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Spencer Martin
Shots faced
28
Saves
23
Allowed
5
xGA
3.77
GSAx
-1.23
Jet Greaves
Shots faced
25
Saves
20
Allowed
5
xGA
2.60
GSAx
-2.40
Zach Sawchenko
Shots faced
9
Saves
8
Allowed
1
xGA
0.62
GSAx
-0.38

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:13Penalty
  • 1st 8:05Austin Wagner (1–0)medium · 16 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 11:25Roman Ahcan (1–1)high · 20 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 6:11Penalty
  • 2nd 6:33Noel Gunler (2–1)5v4 · high · tip · 7 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 9:06Charles Alexis Legault (3–1)medium · tip · 11 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 13:20Penalty
  • 2nd 14:35Penalty
  • 2nd 15:27Skyler Brind’Amour (4–1)4v5 · grade A · 15 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 3:55Domenick Fensore (5–1)low · 97 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 6:10Hunter McKown (5–2)medium · 17 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 7:21Penalty
  • 3rd 7:21Penalty
  • 3rd 7:21Penalty
  • 3rd 14:35Hunter McKown (5–3)medium · tip · 21 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 16:07Owen Sillinger (5–4)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 16:52Hunter McKown (5–5)high · tip · 18 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • OT 1:52Bradly Nadeau (6–5)low · 27 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko