AHLDashboard
Wednesday, January 22

Bridgeport Islanders at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Bridgeport Islanders
1:7
Final
Utica Comets

The sheet

BRIUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
34%66%
xG
2.42.4
High danger
25
Chances
88
Shots
3026

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal26
8Scoring chances8
2High-danger chances5
2.42Expected goals2.39

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st71426030.51.7
2nd10421010.90.3
3rd13841211.00.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
30
Saves
29
Allowed
1
xGA
2.42
GSAx
+1.42
Shots faced
15
Saves
12
Allowed
3
xGA
1.33
GSAx
-1.67
Shots faced
11
Saves
7
Allowed
4
xGA
1.06
GSAx
-2.94

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:40Jack Malone (0–1)low · rebound · 47 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 1st 4:45Jack Malone (0–2)medium · 27 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 1st 7:33Jack Malone (0–3)low · 42 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 1st 7:39Penalty
  • 1st 7:39Penalty
  • 1st 8:48Penalty
  • 1st 10:39Penalty
  • 1st 12:16Nolan Foote (0–4)5v4 · low · 51 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 1st 15:26Mike Hardman (0–5)grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 3:24Penalty
  • 2nd 5:06Penalty
  • 2nd 5:06Penalty
  • 2nd 5:06Penalty
  • 2nd 5:23Penalty
  • 3rd 1:07Penalty
  • 3rd 5:11Penalty
  • 3rd 6:58Penalty
  • 3rd 7:11Liam Foudy (1–5)5v4 · medium · 52 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 3rd 10:52Brian Halonen (1–6)high · 9 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 3rd 18:18Nolan Foote (1–7)low · 42 ft · beat Jakub Skarek