AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 24

Hershey Bears at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Hershey Bears
3:4
Final / OT
Belleville Senators

The sheet

HERBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
65%35%
xG
3.32.7
High danger
75
Chances
1411
Shots
2727

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineHER belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal27
14Scoring chances11
7High-danger chances5
3.31Expected goals2.70

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–155–72–31.2–1.8
2nd11–57–25–11.6–0.4
3rd7–62–20–10.5–0.4
OT0–10–00–00.0–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Clay Stevenson
Shots faced
27
Saves
23
Allowed
4
xGA
2.70
GSAx
-1.30
Michael Simpson
Shots faced
18
Saves
18
Allowed
0
xGA
2.07
GSAx
+2.07
Mark Sinclair
Shots faced
9
Saves
6
Allowed
3
xGA
1.24
GSAx
-1.76

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:12Penalty
  • 1st 2:02Penalty
  • 1st 5:48Matt Strome (1–0)low · wrist · 32 ft · beat Mark Sinclair
  • 1st 6:26Penalty
  • 1st 13:38Nicky Leivermann (2–0)medium · wrist · 16 ft · beat Mark Sinclair
  • 1st 15:13Jamieson Rees (2–1)medium · wrist · 14 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 1st 18:41Mike Vecchione (3–1)low · wrist · 33 ft · beat Mark Sinclair
  • 1st 19:19Oskar Pettersson (3–2)medium · wrist · 23 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 2nd 11:43Penalty
  • 2nd 11:43Penalty
  • 2nd 11:43Penalty
  • 2nd 11:43Penalty
  • 2nd 13:09Penalty
  • 2nd 15:48Penalty
  • 2nd 16:31Angus Crookshank (3–3)5v4 · high · wrist · 23 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • OT 1:40Stephen Halliday (3–4)low · wrist · 33 ft · beat Clay Stevenson