AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 24

Rochester Americans at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Rochester Americans
0:3
Final
Providence Bruins

The sheet

ROCPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
13%87%
xG
1.93.0
High danger
08
Chances
513
Shots
2929

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
PRO above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal29
5Scoring chances13
0High-danger chances8
1.92Expected goals3.05

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–123–40–20.9–1.1
2nd7–80–50–20.4–1.0
3rd9–92–40–40.7–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ROC−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ROC212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Michael DiPietro
Shots faced
29
Saves
29
Allowed
0
xGA
1.92
GSAx
+1.92
Devon Levi
Shots faced
29
Saves
26
Allowed
3
xGA
3.05
GSAx
+0.05

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:48Penalty
  • 1st 14:32Penalty
  • 1st 17:23Penalty
  • 2nd 2:58Penalty
  • 2nd 10:25Penalty
  • 2nd 10:25Penalty
  • 2nd 16:09Penalty
  • 2nd 18:22Tyler Pitlick (0–1)high · 8 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 1:08Fabian Lysell (0–2)low · 43 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 5:19Penalty
  • 3rd 16:54Fabian Lysell (0–3)empty net · low · 52 ft · beat Devon Levi