AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 24

Ontario Reign at Bakersfield Condors

Mechanics Bank Arena · Bakersfield, CA

Ontario Reign
3:2
Final / SO
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

ONTBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
58%42%
xG
3.02.7
High danger
44
Chances
1110
Shots
3624

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineONT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal24
11Scoring chances10
4High-danger chances4
3.04Expected goals2.74

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–102–42–10.6–0.8
2nd14–55–11–11.1–0.7
3rd12–84–51–21.1–1.2
OT3–10–00–00.2–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Collin Delia
Shots faced
36
Saves
34
Allowed
2
xGA
3.04
GSAx
+1.04
Erik Portillo
Shots faced
24
Saves
22
Allowed
2
xGA
2.74
GSAx
+0.74

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:22Cameron Wright (0–1)low · wrist · 17 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 1st 4:01Martin Chromiak (1–1)high · wrist · 10 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 1st 5:00Matthew Savoie (1–2)medium · wrist · 26 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 1st 6:53Penalty
  • 1st 9:15Penalty
  • 1st 17:26Penalty
  • 2nd 1:59Penalty
  • 2nd 18:51Penalty
  • 3rd 10:11Tyler Madden (2–2)medium · wrist · 29 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 3rd 13:24Penalty
  • 3rd 13:30Penalty