AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 24

Colorado Eagles at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

Colorado Eagles
3:6
Final
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

COLHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
22%78%
xG
2.34.1
High danger
611
Chances
818
Shots
2839

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal39
8Scoring chances18
6High-danger chances11
2.35Expected goals4.14

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st3–150–40–10.1–1.1
2nd12–144–103–71.0–2.2
3rd13–104–43–31.3–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

COL−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
COL31:33 of the 3rd18:2717:52+0.023 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Adam Scheel
Shots faced
39
Saves
33
Allowed
6
xGA
4.14
GSAx
-1.86
Carl Lindbom
Shots faced
28
Saves
25
Allowed
3
xGA
2.35
GSAx
-0.65

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:05Penalty
  • 1st 13:52Jakub Brabenec (0–1)medium · snap · 13 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 1st 14:59Kai Uchacz (0–2)medium · snap · 18 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 1st 16:31Cal Burke (0–3)high · backhand · 22 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 2nd 4:59Penalty
  • 2nd 7:13T.J. Tynan (1–3)high · backhand · 15 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 2nd 13:03Jacob MacDonald (2–3)low · snap · 19 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 2nd 15:48Cal Burke (2–4)grade A · tip · 3 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 2nd 18:28Penalty
  • 3rd 1:33Grigori Denisenko (2–5)high · tip · 14 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 3rd 1:57Penalty
  • 3rd 5:10Penalty
  • 3rd 11:34Jake Wise (3–5)high · snap · rebound · 14 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 3rd 14:06Kai Uchacz (3–6)high · snap · 21 ft · beat Adam Scheel