AHLDashboard
Saturday, January 25

Grand Rapids Griffins at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Grand Rapids Griffins
2:1
Final
Manitoba Moose

The sheet

GRMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
72%28%
xG
2.82.2
High danger
73
Chances
105
Shots
2634

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MB above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal34
10Scoring chances5
7High-danger chances3
2.81Expected goals2.23

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st31302000.10.6
2nd121241211.10.6
3rd11962521.71.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MB0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MB119:00 of the 3rd1:001:00+0.022 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
34
Saves
33
Allowed
1
xGA
2.23
GSAx
+1.23
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.81
GSAx
+0.81

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 17:39Penalty
  • 2nd 3:56Penalty
  • 3rd 3:23Penalty
  • 3rd 6:19Penalty
  • 3rd 6:27Parker Ford (0–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 3rd 8:01Sheldon Dries (1–1)high · 9 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 17:06Penalty
  • 3rd 19:00Sheldon Dries (2–1)5v4 · medium · 10 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen