AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 25

Bridgeport Islanders at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Bridgeport Islanders
1:2
Final
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

BRILVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
35%65%
xG
1.62.0
High danger
12
Chances
55
Shots
2223

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal23
5Scoring chances5
1High-danger chances2
1.64Expected goals2.05

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–100–20–10.4–0.8
2nd7–92–30–10.6–1.0
3rd8–43–01–00.7–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI118:47 of the 3rd1:131:13+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Hunter Miska
Shots faced
23
Saves
21
Allowed
2
xGA
2.05
GSAx
+0.05
Parker Gahagen
Shots faced
22
Saves
21
Allowed
1
xGA
1.64
GSAx
+0.64

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:48Penalty
  • 1st 6:13Olle Lycksell (0–1)5v4 · low · 35 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 1st 11:42Penalty
  • 1st 14:58Penalty
  • 2nd 3:38Penalty
  • 2nd 3:38Penalty
  • 2nd 4:38Penalty
  • 2nd 12:17Penalty
  • 2nd 19:21Penalty
  • 3rd 1:30Penalty
  • 3rd 2:16Chris Terry (1–1)5v4 · medium · 29 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 11:45Penalty
  • 3rd 18:47Olle Lycksell (1–2)low · 12 ft · beat Hunter Miska