AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 25

Providence Bruins at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Providence Bruins
4:3
Final / SO
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

PROSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
63%37%
xG
3.22.6
High danger
44
Chances
137
Shots
3436

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal36
13Scoring chances7
4High-danger chances4
3.25Expected goals2.60

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–66–30–31.1–0.7
2nd15–155–34–11.4–1.0
3rd5–112–10–00.4–0.5
OT4–40–00–00.3–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Brandon Bussi
Shots faced
36
Saves
33
Allowed
3
xGA
2.60
GSAx
-0.40
Vadim Zherenko
Shots faced
34
Saves
31
Allowed
3
xGA
3.25
GSAx
+0.25

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:48Matthew Peca (0–1)high · 22 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 1st 8:41Penalty
  • 1st 13:35Georgii Merkulov (1–1)medium · 8 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 1:59Frederic Brunet (2–1)low · 62 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 2:11Penalty
  • 2nd 2:22Penalty
  • 2nd 2:32Penalty
  • 2nd 7:59Penalty
  • 2nd 10:54Penalty
  • 2nd 11:04Ian Mitchell (3–1)5v4 · low · 56 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 15:32Mackenzie MacEachern (3–2)low · 12 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 2nd 15:50Matt Luff (3–3)medium · 15 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 2nd 18:29Penalty
  • 2nd 18:29Penalty
  • 2nd 18:29Penalty
  • 2nd 18:29Penalty
  • 2nd 18:29Penalty
  • 3rd 1:01Penalty