AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 25

Abbotsford Canucks at Tucson Roadrunners

Tucson Convention Center Arena · Tucson, AZ

Abbotsford Canucks
6:2
Final
Tucson Roadrunners

The sheet

ABBTUCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
83%17%
xG
3.81.8
High danger
104
Chances
137
Shots
3022

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TUC above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% TUC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal22
13Scoring chances7
10High-danger chances4
3.84Expected goals1.79

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–53–41–30.8–0.8
2nd16–67–16–02.2–0.3
3rd6–113–23–10.8–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TUC−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TUC30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jaxson Stauber
Shots faced
30
Saves
24
Allowed
6
xGA
3.84
GSAx
-2.16
Artūrs Šilovs
Shots faced
22
Saves
20
Allowed
2
xGA
1.79
GSAx
-0.21

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:16Samuel Blais (1–0)high · 17 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 1st 4:36Penalty
  • 1st 5:06Austin Poganski (1–1)5v4 · high · 7 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 1st 8:58Penalty
  • 1st 11:12Kailer Yamamoto (1–2)high · 18 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 2nd 3:38Aatu Räty (2–2)low · 27 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 4:53Tristen Nielsen (3–2)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 10:22Penalty
  • 2nd 15:49Penalty
  • 2nd 17:57Nils Åman (4–2)low · 24 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 19:51Danila Klimovich (5–2)grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 3rd 2:33Danila Klimovich (6–2)high · 10 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 3rd 11:18Penalty
  • 3rd 16:02Penalty
  • 3rd 16:02Penalty
  • 3rd 18:12Penalty