AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, January 26

Toronto Marlies at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Toronto Marlies
2:4
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

TORSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
44%56%
xG
2.82.7
High danger
35
Chances
1111
Shots
2527

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal27
11Scoring chances11
3High-danger chances5
2.77Expected goals2.66

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–135–42–21.3–1.1
2nd8–81–30–10.5–0.7
3rd8–65–41–21.0–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TOR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TOR116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artur Akhtyamov
Shots faced
27
Saves
23
Allowed
4
xGA
2.66
GSAx
-1.34
Gabriel Carriere
Shots faced
25
Saves
23
Allowed
2
xGA
2.77
GSAx
+0.77

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:11Penalty
  • 1st 13:57Penalty
  • 1st 17:19Penalty
  • 2nd 4:40Penalty
  • 2nd 4:40Penalty
  • 2nd 8:40Penalty
  • 2nd 8:40Anthony Vincent (0–1)low · 33 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 15:05Ethan Cardwell (0–2)high · 10 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 2:11Robert Mastrosimone (1–2)low · 35 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 3rd 3:48Danil Gushchin (1–3)low · 20 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 4:28Penalty
  • 3rd 6:53Joseph Blandisi (2–3)medium · 12 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 3rd 11:13Penalty
  • 3rd 13:20Penalty
  • 3rd 19:24Collin Graf (2–4)empty net · high · 17 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov