Charlotte Checkers at Iowa Wild

Wells Fargo Arena · Des Moines, IA

Charlotte Checkers

4:2

Final

Iowa Wild

The sheet

CLTIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

65%35%

xG: 2.82.2
High danger: 43
Chances: 87
Shots: 3422

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

IA above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal22

8Scoring chances7

4High-danger chances3

2.85Expected goals2.20

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	17–6	2–1	1–0	1.3–0.4
2nd	13–8	4–3	1–1	1.0–1.0
3rd	4–8	2–3	2–2	0.5–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
IA	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jesper Wallstedt

Shots faced: 34
Saves: 30
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.85
GSAx: -1.15

Cooper Black

Shots faced: 22
Saves: 20
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.20
GSAx: +0.20

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:44Will Lockwood (1–0)low · 53 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
1st 19:37Rasmus Asplund (2–0)grade A · wrist · 7 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
2nd 3:12Caedan Bankier (2–1)medium · tip · 10 ft · beat Cooper Black
2nd 4:15Penalty
2nd 8:01Penalty
2nd 14:04Ryan Sandelin (2–2)grade A · wrist · rebound · 11 ft · beat Cooper Black
2nd 16:05Penalty
3rd 4:10Justin Sourdif (3–2)high · backhand · 9 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
3rd 6:11Penalty
3rd 7:09Penalty
3rd 14:20Penalty
3rd 19:39Justin Sourdif (4–2)empty net · high · 5 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt