AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 29

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
9:2
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

LVBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
77%23%
xG
2.82.2
High danger
51
Chances
129
Shots
2828

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal28
12Scoring chances9
5High-danger chances1
2.77Expected goals2.17

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–85–12–01.1–0.4
2nd10–144–61–00.9–1.3
3rd11–63–22–10.8–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Aleksei Kolosov
Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
2.17
GSAx
+0.17
Henrik Tikkanen
Shots faced
17
Saves
13
Allowed
4
xGA
1.38
GSAx
-2.62
Hunter Miska
Shots faced
11
Saves
6
Allowed
5
xGA
1.39
GSAx
-3.61

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:12Samu Tuomaala (1–0)high · 9 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 1st 12:11Louie Belpedio (2–0)medium · 13 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 1st 13:55Penalty
  • 1st 15:34Zayde Wisdom (3–0)4v5 · grade A · 20 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 2nd 2:27Samu Tuomaala (4–0)low · 49 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 2nd 4:34Massimo Rizzo (5–0)medium · 34 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 2nd 6:44Penalty
  • 2nd 8:46Liam Foudy (5–1)medium · 14 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 2nd 10:36Alexis Gendron (6–1)low · 37 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 10:59Zayde Wisdom (7–1)low · 37 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 11:34Penalty
  • 2nd 13:01Chris Terry (7–2)5v4 · low · 47 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 2nd 15:23Penalty
  • 2nd 18:41Penalty
  • 3rd 3:26Penalty
  • 3rd 3:26Penalty
  • 3rd 3:26Penalty
  • 3rd 3:26Penalty
  • 3rd 5:08Penalty
  • 3rd 11:46Penalty
  • 3rd 12:14Brendan Furry (8–2)5v4 · low · 62 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 13:37Zayde Wisdom (9–2)low · 51 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen