AHLDashboard
Wednesday, January 29

Hartford Wolf Pack at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Hartford Wolf Pack
5:6
Final / OT
Belleville Senators

The sheet

HFDBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
21%79%
xG
2.45.2
High danger
49
Chances
1122
Shots
2737

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

024P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal37
11Scoring chances22
4High-danger chances9
2.36Expected goals5.16

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st111235020.81.1
2nd915511350.92.4
3rd7935110.71.0
OT0101010.00.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
37
Saves
31
Allowed
6
xGA
5.16
GSAx
-0.84
Shots faced
27
Saves
22
Allowed
5
xGA
2.36
GSAx
-2.64

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:20Brennan Othmann (1–0)medium · rebound · 39 ft · beat Michael Simpson
  • 1st 8:57Penalty
  • 1st 9:50Stephen Halliday (1–1)5v4 · medium · wrist · 14 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 1st 11:11Dylan Roobroeck (2–1)medium · wrist · 32 ft · beat Michael Simpson
  • 1st 12:33Penalty
  • 1st 19:24Penalty
  • 2nd 6:07Anton Blidh (3–1)high · 15 ft · beat Michael Simpson
  • 2nd 11:02Penalty
  • 2nd 12:23Jan Jeník (3–2)5v4 · grade A · 9 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 15:59Penalty
  • 2nd 17:10Angus Crookshank (3–3)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 18:37Jaroslav Chmelar (4–3)medium · 29 ft · beat Michael Simpson
  • 3rd 0:25Alex Belzile (5–3)medium · 32 ft · beat Michael Simpson
  • 3rd 1:26Wyatt Bongiovanni (5–4)high · 20 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 3:17Oskar Pettersson (5–5)medium · 24 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 4:44Penalty
  • 3rd 14:10Penalty
  • 3rd 14:18Penalty
  • OT 0:16Cole Reinhardt (5–6)grade A · 24 ft · beat Dylan Garand