AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 29

Abbotsford Canucks at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
2:5
Final
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

ABBCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
64%36%
xG
3.82.7
High danger
75
Chances
168
Shots
3029

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal29
16Scoring chances8
7High-danger chances5
3.76Expected goals2.66

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–92–21–10.7–0.6
2nd11–98–25–21.9–0.8
3rd11–116–41–21.1–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB34:54 of the 3rd15:0615:06+0.021 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nikke Kokko
Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
3.76
GSAx
+1.76
Nikita Tolopilo
Shots faced
29
Saves
24
Allowed
5
xGA
2.66
GSAx
-2.34

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:56Penalty
  • 1st 15:24Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 1:50Penalty
  • 2nd 6:18Penalty
  • 2nd 8:03Jagger Firkus (0–1)5v4 · low · 51 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 2nd 10:52Erik Brännström (1–1)low · 60 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 2nd 14:21Penalty
  • 2nd 18:18Danila Klimovich (2–1)high · 10 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 3rd 1:41Nikolas Brouillard (2–2)low · 31 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 3rd 2:13Penalty
  • 3rd 2:44Penalty
  • 3rd 2:44Ben Meyers (2–3)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 3rd 3:22Daniel Sprong (2–4)5v4 · grade A · 24 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 3rd 4:54Jacob Melanson (2–5)low · 37 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 3rd 7:30Penalty
  • 3rd 10:36Penalty
  • 3rd 15:38Penalty