AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 31

Bridgeport Islanders at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Bridgeport Islanders
4:5
Final
Hershey Bears

The sheet

BRIHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
25%75%
xG
2.63.6
High danger
510
Chances
1113
Shots
2028

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal28
11Scoring chances13
5High-danger chances10
2.62Expected goals3.62

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–142–70–50.5–2.0
2nd9–97–44–41.6–1.2
3rd5–52–21–10.5–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Henrik Tikkanen
Shots faced
28
Saves
23
Allowed
5
xGA
3.62
GSAx
-1.38
Hunter Shepard
Shots faced
20
Saves
16
Allowed
4
xGA
2.62
GSAx
-1.38

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:18Ivan Miroshnichenko (0–1)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 1st 0:50Pierrick Dubé (0–2)grade A · 8 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 1st 4:32Penalty
  • 1st 4:32Penalty
  • 1st 4:32Penalty
  • 1st 7:18Brian Pinho (1–2)low · 34 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 1st 10:36William Dufour (2–2)low · 34 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 1st 15:06Penalty
  • 2nd 3:34Penalty
  • 2nd 3:44Gemel Smith (3–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 5:10Penalty
  • 2nd 10:12Ivan Miroshnichenko (3–3)high · 7 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 11:03Penalty
  • 2nd 13:37Penalty
  • 2nd 15:38Penalty
  • 2nd 15:38Penalty
  • 2nd 15:38Penalty
  • 2nd 15:38Penalty
  • 2nd 15:38Penalty
  • 2nd 18:23Penalty
  • 3rd 0:27Ivan Miroshnichenko (3–4)medium · 7 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 3:21Matthew Maggio (4–4)high · 6 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 3rd 4:30Alex Limoges (4–5)high · 22 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 5:34Penalty
  • 3rd 6:04Penalty
  • 3rd 9:00Penalty
  • 3rd 19:49Penalty
  • 3rd 19:49Penalty