AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 31

Hartford Wolf Pack at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Hartford Wolf Pack
1:3
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

HFDLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
39%61%
xG
2.42.7
High danger
35
Chances
77
Shots
3125

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal25
7Scoring chances7
3High-danger chances5
2.42Expected goals2.67

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–93–32–10.9–1.0
2nd9–91–20–20.5–0.8
3rd13–73–21–21.0–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cayden Primeau
Shots faced
31
Saves
30
Allowed
1
xGA
2.42
GSAx
+1.42
Louis Domingue
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
2.67
GSAx
-0.33

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:22Owen Beck (0–1)medium · wrist · 8 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 4:53Penalty
  • 1st 6:32Penalty
  • 1st 11:53Penalty
  • 1st 18:36Penalty
  • 2nd 3:43Penalty
  • 2nd 7:13Penalty
  • 2nd 7:13Penalty
  • 2nd 14:47Penalty
  • 2nd 19:00Penalty
  • 3rd 7:18Penalty
  • 3rd 7:46Penalty
  • 3rd 8:02Alex Belzile (1–1)high · backhand · 16 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 9:42Florian Xhekaj (1–2)5v4 · grade A · wrist · rebound · 16 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 17:30Penalty
  • 3rd 17:30Penalty
  • 3rd 19:58Laurent Dauphin (1–3)empty net · low · wrist · 71 ft · beat Louis Domingue