AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 1

Bridgeport Islanders at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Bridgeport Islanders
4:5
Final
Hershey Bears

The sheet

BRIHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
27%73%
xG
2.13.4
High danger
47
Chances
1014
Shots
2430

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal30
10Scoring chances14
4High-danger chances7
2.08Expected goals3.37

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–113–51–30.7–1.3
2nd8–145–72–30.9–1.6
3rd6–52–21–10.5–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Hunter Miska
Shots faced
30
Saves
25
Allowed
5
xGA
3.37
GSAx
-1.63
Clay Stevenson
Shots faced
24
Saves
20
Allowed
4
xGA
2.08
GSAx
-1.92

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:11Isaiah George (1–0)low · 63 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 1st 10:06Samuel Bolduc (2–0)low · 59 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 1st 14:24Chris Terry (3–0)high · 6 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 1st 16:33Penalty
  • 1st 18:51Bogdan Trineyev (3–1)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 2nd 0:40Penalty
  • 2nd 2:23Ivan Miroshnichenko (3–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 2nd 2:39Spencer Smallman (3–3)5v4 · medium · 31 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 2nd 12:58Penalty
  • 2nd 15:36Eetu Liukas (4–3)high · 10 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 2nd 16:03Alex Limoges (4–4)medium · 8 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 2nd 17:17Penalty
  • 2nd 17:17Penalty
  • 3rd 6:39Ethan Bear (4–5)low · 43 ft · beat Hunter Miska
  • 3rd 14:35Penalty