Colorado Eagles at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Colorado Eagles

6:0

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

COLGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

87%13%

xG: 4.01.5
High danger: 82
Chances: 143
Shots: 3126

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal26

14Scoring chances3

8High-danger chances2

3.98Expected goals1.54

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–13	3–0	3–0	1.2–0.4
2nd	12–5	6–2	3–1	1.6–0.6
3rd	10–8	5–1	2–1	1.2–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
GR	4	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Adam Scheel

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 26
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.54
GSAx: +1.54

Jack Campbell

Shots faced: 22
Saves: 19
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.80
GSAx: -0.20

Ville Husso

Shots faced: 9
Saves: 6
Allowed: 3
xGA: 1.17
GSAx: -1.83

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:36Matthew Phillips (1–0)high · 4 ft · beat Ville Husso
1st 8:13Penalty
1st 8:31Jacob MacDonald (2–0)5v4 · low · 40 ft · beat Ville Husso
1st 9:40Matthew Phillips (3–0)high · 19 ft · beat Ville Husso
1st 16:27Penalty
2nd 3:03Penalty
2nd 5:44Penalty
2nd 11:04Matthew Phillips (4–0)medium · 8 ft · beat Jack Campbell
2nd 16:13Penalty
3rd 7:54Penalty
3rd 8:56Jacob MacDonald (5–0)5v4 · medium · 26 ft · beat Jack Campbell
3rd 15:21Penalty
3rd 19:59Tye Felhaber (6–0)medium · 5 ft · beat Jack Campbell