AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 1

Providence Bruins at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Providence Bruins
2:3
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

PROCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
50%50%
xG
3.53.4
High danger
77
Chances
1614
Shots
3133

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal33
16Scoring chances14
7High-danger chances7
3.45Expected goals3.38

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–143–71–30.6–1.5
2nd15–86–34–01.7–0.7
3rd11–117–42–41.2–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

PRO−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
PRO116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Bussi
Shots faced
33
Saves
30
Allowed
3
xGA
3.38
GSAx
+0.38
Jet Greaves
Shots faced
31
Saves
29
Allowed
2
xGA
3.45
GSAx
+1.45

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:50Joey Abate (1–0)grade A · rebound · 21 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 7:34Penalty
  • 1st 7:34Penalty
  • 1st 7:34Penalty
  • 1st 9:22Max Jones (2–0)5v4 · medium · 39 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 9:36Penalty
  • 1st 12:13Penalty
  • 1st 12:13Penalty
  • 1st 14:49Penalty
  • 1st 15:02Rocco Grimaldi (2–1)5v4 · medium · 29 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 2nd 8:50Dylan Gambrell (2–2)medium · 23 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 2nd 9:45Penalty
  • 2nd 18:00Penalty
  • 2nd 18:00Penalty
  • 3rd 0:20Penalty
  • 3rd 3:33Jordan Dumais (2–3)low · 31 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 3rd 15:12Penalty
  • 3rd 15:52Penalty