AHLDashboard
Saturday, February 1

Utica Comets at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Utica Comets
3:4
Final / OT
Belleville Senators

The sheet

UTCBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
36%64%
xG
2.93.4
High danger
36
Chances
1013
Shots
3235

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal35
10Scoring chances13
3High-danger chances6
2.92Expected goals3.38

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st81114020.41.1
2nd14962101.20.7
3rd81337241.21.4
OT2200000.10.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
35
Saves
31
Allowed
4
xGA
3.38
GSAx
-0.62
Shots faced
32
Saves
29
Allowed
3
xGA
2.92
GSAx
-0.08

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:46Penalty
  • 1st 17:21Adam Beckman (1–0)low · 46 ft · beat Michael Simpson
  • 2nd 3:25Penalty
  • 2nd 8:16Garrett Pilon (1–1)low · 28 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 2nd 10:36Ryan Schmelzer (2–1)medium · 10 ft · beat Michael Simpson
  • 2nd 15:42Jeremy Davies (2–2)low · 68 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 2nd 19:56Penalty
  • 3rd 1:46Nolan Foote (3–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Michael Simpson
  • 3rd 5:11Garrett Pilon (3–3)high · 7 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 3rd 16:41Penalty
  • 3rd 17:53Penalty
  • OT 3:16Wyatt Bongiovanni (3–4)low · 44 ft · beat Isaac Poulter